The US elections, one of many yr’s most pivotal occasions, is simply across the nook. On
fifth November 2024, the US will maintain one of many
most polarised presidential elections in its historical past. We’ll dive into the present race, break down every candidate’s insurance policies, discover attainable election eventualities, and take a look at their potential affect on the markets.
Who’s More likely to Win?
Polling information and betting markets are two of the preferred methods to foretell election outcomes, but they’re at the moment portray very completely different photos. Polls, usually carried out by means of surveys, present a slim lead for Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, who holds 48.8% in nationwide polls in comparison with Trump’s 47.6%. With such a slim margin, the race stays too near name.
In the meantime, betting markets, the place gamblers wager on occasion outcomes,
counsel Trump has a stronger likelihood. In line with probably the most common betting websites, Polymarket, his odds…